Calgary, Cochrane, and Airdrie home supply levels improve in January
Courtesy of CREB®
Improving inventory of Calgary area homes in January is part of a trend for 2025. According to the Calgary Real Estate Board’s (CREB) Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie, “In 2025, housing demand is expected to remain strong, with sales forecasted… to be over 20 per cent higher than long-term trends. While we anticipate stable sales levels overall, market dynamics will shift as rental rate adjustments and supply improvements influence different segments of the housing market.”
CREB predicts that Calgary area’s housing market will transition toward balanced conditions in the coming months, with price growth moderating to an expected annual gain of three per cent.
Calgary
Following three consecutive years of limited supply choice, inventory levels in January rose to 3,639 units. While the 70 per cent year-over-year gain is significant, inventory levels remain lower than the over 4,000 units we would typically see in January. Inventories rose across all property types, with some of the largest gains driven by apartment-style condominiums.
“Supply levels are expected to improve this year, contributing to more balanced conditions and slower price growth,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “However, the adjustment in supply is not equal amongst all property types. Compared with sales, we continue to see persistently tight conditions for detached, semi-detached and row properties while apartment condominiums show signs of excess supply for higher priced units.”
Citywide, the months of supply reached 2.5 months in January, an improvement over the one month of supply reported last year, but it is still considered low for a winter month. The month of supply ranged from under two months for semi-detached properties to 3.5 months for apartment-style units.
Rising supply resulted from a boost in new listings compared to sales. New listings rose to 2,896 units in January, compared to 1,451 sales. Sales in January were down by 12 per cent compared to last year. However, even with a pullback in sales, levels remained nearly 30 per cent higher than levels typically recorded in January.
The total residential benchmark price in January was $583,000, which is relatively stable compared to levels reported at the end of last year and nearly three per cent higher than last January. Price growth ranged across districts within the city as well as property types.
Airdrie
Sales in January remained in line with levels reported last month and last year, which were well above long-term trends. However, thanks to a boost in new listings, inventory levels improved, and the months of supply remained above two months for the fifth consecutive month. While 2.6 months of supply is below historical trends for Airdrie, it is a significant improvement over the under two months that has persisted since 2021. More supply in the resale and new home markets has taken some of the pressure off home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $537,300, down over last month but nearly four per cent higher than last year.